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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
REKONIXwin 2:0
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Nemesisloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

REKONIX

Tiny
Tiny
TraVins · 29 games
38%
Puck
Puckoften banned
inYourdreaM · 23 games
43%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 20 games
25%
Rubick
Rubick
dalul · 19 games
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
dalul · 18 games
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
inYourdreaM · 17 games
59%
Kez
Kezoften banned
TraVins · 17 games
59%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Varizh · 17 games
47%

Team Nemesis

Tiny
Tinysignature
rubikon155 · 24 games
63%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Jabz · 18 games
50%
Windranger
Windranger
Q · 18 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Lelis · 15 games
67%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Jabz · 15 games
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
4nalog · 11 games
45%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
YamSun · 11 games
55%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
23savage · 11 games
27%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
621 picks · 441 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
539 picks · 309 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
416 picks · 392 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
397 picks · 568 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
371 picks · 398 bans
48%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
348 picks · 635 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
343 picks · 498 bans
52%
Windranger
Windranger
340 picks · 236 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 49%
Hero pool strength53% Team Nemesis
Head-to-head5 – 1
Model total63% REKONIX
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:44
REKONIX 58%Team Nemesis 42%
The model gave 58% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX in 1:04:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidTraVins
61% · 13 games41% · 83 games
UndyingJabz
Undying
Lina
LinainYourdreaM
56% · 16 games60% · 18 games
Clinkzrubikon155
Clinkz
Batrider
BatriderFbz
50% · 241 game49% · 177 games
Snapfire4nalog
Snapfire
Lich
LichVarizh
47% · 78 games42% · 111 games
Dark WillowLelis
Dark Willow
Marci
Marcidalul
54% · 183 games55% · 142 games
BaneYamSun
Bane
Game 2prediction correct27:11
REKONIX 56%Team Nemesis 44%
The model gave 56% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX in 30:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautTraVins
45% · 66 games48% · 377 games
Tinyrubikon155
Tiny
Beastmaster
BeastmasterinYourdreaM
45% · 295 games54% · 18 games
Lina4nalog
Lina
Snapfire
SnapfireFbz
47% · 219 games53% · 60 games
Earth SpiritJabz
Earth Spirit
Largo
Largodalul
56% · 155 games51% · 227 games
EnchantressYamSun
Enchantress
Disruptor
DisruptorVarizh
52% · 215 games52% · 268 games
RingmasterLelis
Ringmaster
Model check result
Model favoriteREKONIX · 63%
Series resultREKONIX 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2