Tennisi Stampede Champions: Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Ilbirs eSportsloss 1:2series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Winter Bearwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ilbirs eSports
No games played over 6 months.
Winter Bear
Ember Spiritoften banned
Panda · 3 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Panda · 3 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Panda · 3 games
Batrideroften banned
Kaori · 2 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Panda · 2 games
Invokeroften banned
Panda · 2 games
Jakiro
Kaori · 2 games
Puckoften banned
Panda · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
775 picks · 362 bans
Hoodwink
582 picks · 300 bans
Disruptor
570 picks · 573 bans
Jakiro
509 picks · 354 bans
Dragon Knight
498 picks · 599 bans
Tusk
481 picks · 273 bans
Mars
476 picks · 750 bans
Centaur Warrunner
431 picks · 495 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 38%
Hero pool strength51% Ilbirs eSports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Winter Bear
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Ilbirs eSports 40%Winter Bear 60%
The model gave 60% on Winter Bear — the game was taken by Ilbirs eSports.
Game 2prediction correct
Ilbirs eSports 40%Winter Bear 60%
The model gave 60% on Winter Bear — the game was taken by Winter Bear.
Game 3prediction correct
Ilbirs eSports 40%Winter Bear 60%
The model gave 60% on Winter Bear — the game was taken by Winter Bear.
Model check result
Model favoriteWinter Bear · 60%
Series resultWinter Bear 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3