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Tennisi Stampede Champions: Season 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
VP.Prodigywin 1:0
series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Winter Bearloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

VP.Prodigy

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
armageddon · 7 games
14%
Snapfire
Snapfire
armageddon · 6 games
17%
Mars
Marsoften banned
takizawa · 5 games
40%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
takizawa · 3 games
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Serenada · 3 games
33%
Marci
Marcioften banned
egx · 3 games
0%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
спортик · 3 games
0%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
egx · 3 games
33%

Winter Bear

Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Panda · 3 games
67%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Panda · 3 games
33%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Panda · 2 games
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Panda · 2 games
50%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Otaker · 1 game
0%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
Stoic · 1 game
0%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
OmaR · 1 game
100%
Earthshaker
Earthshakeroften banned
Panda · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
787 picks · 362 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
579 picks · 300 bans
51%
Disruptor
Disruptor
578 picks · 579 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
494 picks · 579 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
493 picks · 335 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
483 picks · 269 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
476 picks · 753 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
437 picks · 1109 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)23% vs 39%
Hero pool strength57% Winter Bear
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Winter Bear
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
VP.Prodigy 31%Winter Bear 69%
The model gave 69% on Winter Bear — the game was taken by VP.Prodigy.
Model check result
Model favoriteWinter Bear · 69%
Series resultVP.Prodigy 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1