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Tennisi Stampede Champions: Season 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
Yellow Submarinewin 1:0
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Aim Possibleloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yellow Submarine

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 32 games
59%
Tusk
Tusk
mrls · 29 games
38%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Mirele · 28 games
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Infernal · 26 games
58%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
Xakoda · 26 games
46%
Snapfire
Snapfire
mrls · 25 games
48%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Mirele · 23 games
30%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Infernal · 22 games
41%

Aim Possible

Dazzle
Dazzleoften banned
Aidar · 6 games
33%
Magnus
Magnus
zenica · 5 games
40%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
chempik · 4 games
25%
Warlock
Warlock
Aidar · 4 games
0%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
Garbat1y · 3 games
0%
Bane
Bane
Garbat1y · 3 games
67%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
zenica · 3 games
33%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
Htrd · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
787 picks · 362 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
579 picks · 300 bans
51%
Disruptor
Disruptor
578 picks · 579 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
494 picks · 577 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
493 picks · 333 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
482 picks · 268 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
474 picks · 753 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
437 picks · 1107 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 46%
Hero pool strength55% Yellow Submarine
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total72% Yellow Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Yellow Submarine 72%Aim Possible 28%
The model gave 72% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine.
Model check result
Model favoriteYellow Submarine · 72%
Series resultYellow Submarine 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1