?
arrow_backBack to match
BLAST Slam V · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Tideboundloss 0:2
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Natus Vincerewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Tidebound

Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
y` · 26 games
46%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Faith_bian · 16 games
63%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
shiro · 14 games
57%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
NothingToSay · 14 games
29%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Echo · 14 games
57%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
shiro · 14 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Echo · 13 games
54%
Bane
Bane
y` · 12 games
50%

Natus Vincere

Warlock
Warlock
Kaori · 26 games
58%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
pma · 25 games
52%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
Riddys · 23 games
48%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
gotthejuice · 22 games
68%
Bane
Banesignature
Zayac · 20 games
80%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
gotthejuice · 19 games
74%
Dazzle
Dazzleoften banned
Riddys · 18 games
50%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Niku · 17 games
59%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
785 picks · 358 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
584 picks · 585 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
575 picks · 300 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
485 picks · 316 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
481 picks · 566 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
476 picks · 268 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
465 picks · 752 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
437 picks · 1114 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 56%
Hero pool strength56% Natus Vincere
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total55% Natus Vincere
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:30
Team Tidebound 46%Natus Vincere 54%
The model gave 54% on Natus Vincere — the game was taken by Natus Vincere in 40:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Huskar
Huskarshiro
52% · 39 games61% · 66 games
Faceless Voidgotthejuice
Faceless Void
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritEcho
46% · 237 games49% · 358 games
PuckNiku
Puck
Bristleback
Bristlebackniu
52% · 247 games47% · 188 games
Slardarpma
Slardar
Batrider
BatriderpLAnet
44% · 281 game50% · 383 games
WarlockRiddys
Warlock
Jakiro
Jakiroy`
43% · 385 games60% · 194 games
BaneZayac
Bane
Game 2prediction correct21:21
Team Tidebound 48%Natus Vincere 52%
The model gave 52% on Natus Vincere — the game was taken by Natus Vincere in 38:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
Alchemistshiro
51% · 70 games47% · 240 games
Gyrocoptergotthejuice
Gyrocopter
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetEcho
53% · 241 game49% · 263 games
Centaur Warrunnerpma
Centaur Warrunner
Axe
Axeniu
48% · 139 games47% · 27 games
KezNiku
Kez
Windranger
WindrangerpLAnet
46% · 125 games57% · 304 games
WarlockRiddys
Warlock
Jakiro
Jakiroy`
47% · 419 games53% · 160 games
Shadow DemonZayac
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere · 55%
Series resultNatus Vincere 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2