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BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Yandexloss 0:1
series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Execrationwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Yandex

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Watson · 21 game
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Noticed · 21 game
62%
Warlock
Warlock
Solo · 19 games
47%
Tusk
Tusk
Malady · 17 games
59%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
prblms · 16 games
81%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 16 games
69%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
TA2000 · 15 games
60%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Malady · 15 games
60%

Execration

Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Shanks · 27 games
63%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 22 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Palos · 18 games
56%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Shanks · 18 games
61%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
cml · 17 games
59%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Palos · 16 games
44%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Tino- · 15 games
40%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunteroften banned
Shanks · 14 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
780 picks · 357 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
585 picks · 583 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
573 picks · 300 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
483 picks · 307 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
477 picks · 562 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
471 picks · 268 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
460 picks · 751 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
437 picks · 1112 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 48%
Hero pool strength53% Team Yandex
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:36
Team Yandex 70%Execration 30%
The model gave 70% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Execration in 48:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
AbaddonWatson
48% · 248 games50% · 327 games
GyrocopterPalos
Gyrocopter
Sand King
Sand KingChira JUNIOR
59% · 203 games48% · 404 games
Dragon KnightBob
Dragon Knight
Tidehunter
TidehunterNoticed
56% · 150 games48% · 303 games
MarsTino-
Mars
Snapfire
SnapfireSaksa
53% · 356 games42% · 103 games
Skywrath MageShanks
Skywrath Mage
Jakiro
JakiroMalady
52% · 362 games43% · 182 games
Enchantresscml
Enchantress
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 80%
Series resultExecration 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1