BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rostik Teamwin 2:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
By_Owl Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rostik Team
Techies
Воскресенский · 7 games
Dark Seeroften banned
egxrdemxn · 4 games
Jakiro
Воскресенский · 4 games
Juggernaut
zvёzd · 4 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Vlad · 4 games
Ancient Apparition
Воскресенский · 3 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
9970- · 3 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
iful · 3 games
By_Owl Team
Warlocksignature
by_Owl · 8 games
Doomoften banned
meLes · 6 games
Crystal Maiden
by_Owl · 5 games
Disruptoroften banned
by_Owl · 4 games
Hoodwink
rostikfacekid · 4 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Koma` · 4 games
Magnus
meLes · 4 games
Snapfire
Нексюша · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
780 picks · 357 bans
Disruptor
583 picks · 583 bans
Hoodwink
572 picks · 300 bans
Jakiro
483 picks · 306 bans
Dragon Knight
477 picks · 561 bans
Tusk
470 picks · 269 bans
Mars
460 picks · 751 bans
Puck
437 picks · 1113 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 69%
Hero pool strength51% Rostik Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Rostik Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:5
Rostik Team 54%By_Owl Team 46%
The model gave 54% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team in 31:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone DruidiLTW
Monkey KingKoma`
Void Spiritrostislav_999
Abaddonblindzone
Marciegxrdemxn
Invokeravice
HoodwinkVlad
Ringmasterrostikfacekid
OmniknightВоскресенский
Disruptorby_Owl
Game 2prediction missed43:6
Rostik Team 50%By_Owl Team 50%
The model gave 50% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team in 24:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
UrsaiLTW
Marsblindzone
Dazzleegxrdemxn
Kunkkaavice
Earth Spiritrostislav_999
Phantom AssassinKoma`
LichВоскресенский
Windrangerrostikfacekid
TuskVlad
Disruptorby_Owl
Model check result
Model favoriteRostik Team · 54%
Series resultRostik Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 2