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BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:1
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Yakult Brotherswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Warlock
Warlocksignature
xNova · 21 game
62%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 19 games
79%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Xm · 18 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Xm · 16 games
75%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
xNova · 14 games
64%
Disruptor
Disruptor
xNova · 13 games
54%
Earthshaker
Earthshakeroften banned
Xxs · 13 games
46%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Xxs · 13 games
69%

Yakult Brothers

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 30 games
47%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Emo · 22 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Poloson · 20 games
70%
Bane
Bane
Oli · 17 games
41%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
flyfly · 16 games
44%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Emo · 16 games
31%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Poloson · 15 games
27%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
BoBoKa · 14 games
21%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
779 picks · 357 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
583 picks · 582 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
571 picks · 300 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
480 picks · 305 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
475 picks · 561 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
469 picks · 269 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
458 picks · 749 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
436 picks · 1113 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 39%
Hero pool strength58% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total83% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:41
Xtreme Gaming 70%Yakult Brothers 30%
The model gave 70% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 44:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
AbaddonAme
48% · 263 games50% · 383 games
Storm Spiritflyfly
Storm Spirit
Pangolier
PangolierXxs
48% · 432 games52% · 314 games
Void SpiritEmo
Void Spirit
Puck
PuckNothingToSay
46% · 466 games52% · 365 games
Marszeal
Mars
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonfy
49% · 239 games49% · 489 games
Jakiro天命
Jakiro
Snapfire
SnapfirexNova
49% · 384 games56% · 233 games
BaneBoBoKa
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 83%
Series resultYakult Brothers 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1