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BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 1:0
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 1:0
MOUZloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 31 game
68%
Chen
Chensignature
Sneyking · 28 games
79%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Sneyking · 27 games
74%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Sneyking · 23 games
57%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 22 games
77%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Skiter · 20 games
75%
Mars
Marssignature
ATF · 19 games
74%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
ATF · 17 games
82%

MOUZ

Tusk
Tusksignature
yamich · 54 games
70%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Seleri · 45 games
53%
Pudge
Pudgesignature
yamich · 40 games
60%
Juggernaut
Juggernautsignature
Crystallis · 32 games
75%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
MidOne · 32 games
69%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
MidOne · 31 game
65%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
BOOM · 31 game
71%
Mars
Marssignature
BOOM · 30 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
778 picks · 357 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
583 picks · 585 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
569 picks · 300 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
478 picks · 300 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
477 picks · 556 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
469 picks · 270 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
458 picks · 747 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
435 picks · 1116 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)80% vs 68%
Hero pool strength54% Team Falcons
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total76% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:14
Team Falcons 66%MOUZ 34%
The model gave 66% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 36:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Huskar
HuskarMalr1ne
43% · 76 games50% · 281 game
AbaddonCrystallis
Abaddon
Weaver
WeaverSkiter
48% · 94 games57% · 274 games
Nature's ProphetMidOne
Nature's Prophet
Pangolier
PangolierATF
50% · 375 games56% · 170 games
Primal BeastBOOM
Primal Beast
Tusk
TuskSneyking
48% · 401 game52% · 374 games
JakiroSeleri
Jakiro
Hoodwink
HoodwinkCr1t-
46% · 246 games50% · 93 games
Pudgeyamich
Pudge
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 76%
Series resultTeam Falcons 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1