?
arrow_backBack to match
BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportswin 1:0
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Axe
Axesignature
33 · 34 games
62%
Bane
Banesignature
Whitemon · 28 games
71%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Whitemon · 27 games
52%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Ari · 26 games
54%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
Pure~ · 23 games
61%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
bzm · 22 games
55%
Tiny
Tiny
Saksa · 19 games
58%
Doom
Doomoften banned
33 · 18 games
33%

Xtreme Gaming

Warlock
Warlocksignature
xNova · 21 game
62%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 19 games
79%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Xm · 18 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Xm · 16 games
75%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
xNova · 14 games
64%
Earthshaker
Earthshakeroften banned
Xxs · 13 games
46%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Xxs · 13 games
69%
Tusk
Tusk
XinQ · 13 games
46%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
778 picks · 357 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
582 picks · 585 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
568 picks · 299 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
476 picks · 294 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
474 picks · 552 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
465 picks · 272 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
456 picks · 743 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
435 picks · 1116 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 58%
Hero pool strength53% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head3 – 4
Model total76% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:16
Tundra Esports 64%Xtreme Gaming 36%
The model gave 64% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 33:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautPure~
51% · 72 games48% · 326 games
GyrocopterAme
Gyrocopter
Axe
Axe33
48% · 149 games59% · 125 games
Primal BeastNothingToSay
Primal Beast
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritbzm
47% · 291 game48% · 267 games
Centaur WarrunnerXxs
Centaur Warrunner
Batrider
BatriderAri
51% · 346 games48% · 293 games
DisruptorxNova
Disruptor
Jakiro
JakiroWhitemon
49% · 447 games54% · 294 games
Ringmasterfy
Ringmaster
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 76%
Series resultTundra Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1