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BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 1:0
series probability
95%5%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Execrationloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 31 game
68%
Chen
Chensignature
Sneyking · 28 games
79%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Sneyking · 26 games
73%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Sneyking · 23 games
57%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 22 games
77%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Skiter · 19 games
74%
Mars
Marssignature
ATF · 18 games
72%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
ATF · 17 games
82%

Execration

Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Shanks · 27 games
63%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 22 games
50%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Shanks · 18 games
61%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Palos · 17 games
59%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
cml · 17 games
59%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Palos · 16 games
44%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Bob · 14 games
57%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Tino- · 13 games
46%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
778 picks · 357 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
582 picks · 585 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
568 picks · 299 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
476 picks · 294 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
474 picks · 552 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
465 picks · 272 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
456 picks · 743 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
435 picks · 1116 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)79% vs 50%
Hero pool strength60% Team Falcons
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total95% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:26
Team Falcons 82%Execration 18%
The model gave 82% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 52:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
WeaverSkiter
44% · 99 games58% · 213 games
Nature's ProphetPalos
Nature's Prophet
Mars
MarsATF
48% · 281 game50% · 245 games
BeastmasterBob
Beastmaster
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightMalr1ne
45% · 385 games48% · 289 games
PangolierTino-
Pangolier
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageCr1t-
44% · 57 games54% · 143 games
RingmasterShanks
Ringmaster
Pugna
PugnaSneyking
54% · 208 games55% · 140 games
Banecml
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 95%
Series resultTeam Falcons 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1