BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Yakult Brothersloss 0:1series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Execrationwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yakult Brothers
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 33 games
Puckoften banned
Emo · 21 game
Disruptorsignature
Poloson · 20 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
flyfly · 16 games
Bane
Oli · 15 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Emo · 15 games
Jakiro
Poloson · 14 games
Anti-Magesignature
flyfly · 13 games
Execration
Snapfiresignature
Shanks · 27 games
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 22 games
Tusksignature
Shanks · 18 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Palos · 17 games
Witch Doctor
cml · 17 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Palos · 16 games
Puckoften banned
Bob · 14 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Tino- · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
778 picks · 357 bans
Disruptor
584 picks · 589 bans
Hoodwink
569 picks · 299 bans
Jakiro
475 picks · 294 bans
Dragon Knight
474 picks · 551 bans
Tusk
468 picks · 274 bans
Mars
457 picks · 743 bans
Puck
436 picks · 1118 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 49%
Hero pool strength55% Execration
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total52% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:20
Yakult Brothers 50%Execration 50%
The model gave 50% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Execration in 27:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaverflyfly
JuggernautPalos
Enigmazeal
Queen of PainBob
SlardarEmo
PangolierTino-
BatriderBoBoKa
RingmasterShanks
Bane天命
Jakirocml
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 52%
Series resultExecration 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 1