Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Poor Rangers
Disruptor
Hduo · 4 games
Drow Rangeroften banned
TA2000 · 4 games
Tiny
TA2000 · 4 games
Windranger
Immersion · 4 games
Centaur Warrunner
Alberkaaa · 3 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Hduo · 3 games
Earth Spirit
Alberkaaa · 3 games
Snapfireoften banned
Alberkaaa · 3 games
Rune Eaters
Tusk
ani-san · 32 games
Tiny
ani-san · 24 games
Jakiro
Kidaro · 23 games
Windranger
yowaai · 21 game
Puckoften banned
Ethereal · 18 games
Batrideroften banned
Ankou · 17 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Ethereal · 17 games
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 17 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
622 picks · 441 bans
Rubick
547 picks · 311 bans
Tiny
414 picks · 392 bans
Pangolier
404 picks · 578 bans
Phoenix
376 picks · 411 bans
Clockwerk
346 picks · 637 bans
Ember Spirit
344 picks · 501 bans
Windranger
336 picks · 234 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 39%
Hero pool strength54% Rune Eaters
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Poor Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:47
Poor Rangers 54%Rune Eaters 46%
The model gave 54% on Poor Rangers — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 59:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Pucknicky`cool
Shadow FiendDarkLord^
Dark SeerAlberkaaa
SlardarCopy
WindrangerTA2000
SnapfireMalik
ClockwerkImmersion
MiranaEkki
DisruptorHduo
Baneaik
Game 2prediction missed19:26
Poor Rangers 56%Rune Eaters 44%
The model gave 56% on Poor Rangers — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 29:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
ClinkzTA2000
BeastmasterMalik
Pucknicky`cool
Drow RangerDarkLord^
AxeAlberkaaa
SlardarCopy
IoImmersion
Undyingaik
BaneHduo
LionEkki
Model check result
Model favoritePoor Rangers · 57%
Series resultRune Eaters 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2