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BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingwin 1:0
series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Tearlamentsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Warlock
Warlocksignature
xNova · 21 game
62%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 19 games
79%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Xm · 18 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Xm · 16 games
75%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
xNova · 14 games
64%
Tusk
Tusk
XinQ · 13 games
46%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Xxs · 12 games
58%
Earthshaker
Earthshakeroften banned
Xxs · 12 games
50%

Tearlaments

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
7e · 17 games
76%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
7e · 14 games
71%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Srf · 13 games
46%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Echo · 11 games
64%
Snapfire
Snapfire
7e · 11 games
55%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Srf · 10 games
50%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
poyoyo · 9 games
67%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Srf · 8 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
778 picks · 354 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
583 picks · 590 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
566 picks · 299 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
472 picks · 544 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
471 picks · 289 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
467 picks · 273 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
454 picks · 740 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
435 picks · 1119 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 59%
Hero pool strength50% Tearlaments
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total86% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:12
Xtreme Gaming 73%Tearlaments 27%
The model gave 73% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 31:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
WeaverAme
52% · 93 games46% · 243 games
Abaddonpoyoyo
Abaddon
Pangolier
PangolierXxs
48% · 414 games51% · 229 games
Centaur WarrunnerSrf
Centaur Warrunner
Slardar
SlardarNothingToSay
50% · 191 game50% · 162 games
Leshrac7e
Leshrac
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkfy
46% · 320 games50% · 307 games
Disruptorzzq
Disruptor
Bane
BanexNova
58% · 223 games49% · 300 games
BatriderTK
Batrider
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 86%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1