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BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportswin 1:0
series probability
93%7%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Tearlamentsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Axe
Axesignature
33 · 33 games
64%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Whitemon · 27 games
52%
Bane
Banesignature
Whitemon · 25 games
72%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Ari · 25 games
52%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Crystallis · 21 game
57%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
bzm · 21 game
52%
Tiny
Tiny
Saksa · 19 games
58%
Doom
Doomoften banned
33 · 18 games
33%

Tearlaments

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
7e · 17 games
76%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
7e · 14 games
71%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Srf · 12 games
50%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Echo · 11 games
64%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Srf · 10 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
7e · 10 games
60%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
poyoyo · 9 games
67%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Srf · 8 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
777 picks · 354 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
583 picks · 593 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
563 picks · 299 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
471 picks · 542 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
469 picks · 286 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
466 picks · 273 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
454 picks · 740 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
435 picks · 1122 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 61%
Hero pool strength54% Tearlaments
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total93% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:21
Tundra Esports 80%Tearlaments 20%
The model gave 80% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 39:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
AbaddonPure~
49% · 273 games52% · 348 games
Gyrocopterpoyoyo
Gyrocopter
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painbzm
47% · 293 games50% · 337 games
MarsSrf
Mars
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner33
49% · 335 games50% · 237 games
Slardar7e
Slardar
Tusk
TuskWhitemon
49% · 438 games56% · 485 games
SnapfireTK
Snapfire
Hoodwink
HoodwinkAri
50% · 456 games48% · 388 games
Disruptorzzq
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 93%
Series resultTundra Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1