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BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
OGloss 0:1
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Tideboundwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Jakiro
Jakiro
Kidaro · 30 games
43%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Daze · 25 games
56%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
MikSa` · 23 games
35%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Stojkov · 22 games
50%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Shad · 22 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Daze · 21 game
43%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Stojkov · 20 games
45%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Lelis · 19 games
58%

Team Tidebound

Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
y` · 25 games
44%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Faith_bian · 15 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Echo · 13 games
54%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
NothingToSay · 13 games
31%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Echo · 13 games
54%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
shiro · 13 games
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
shiro · 12 games
50%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
shiro · 12 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
776 picks · 354 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
583 picks · 593 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
563 picks · 299 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
468 picks · 541 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
466 picks · 285 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
465 picks · 273 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
452 picks · 738 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
435 picks · 1121 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 59%
Hero pool strength52% Team Tidebound
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed7:19
OG 53%Team Tidebound 47%
The model gave 53% on OG — the game was taken by Team Tidebound in 36:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinNatsumi
52% · 196 games46% · 396 games
Gyrocoptershiro
Gyrocopter
Bristleback
BristlebackForce
55% · 254 games54% · 65 games
ViperEcho
Viper
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightYopaj
50% · 352 games47% · 262 games
Timbersawniu
Timbersaw
Pugna
PugnaSkem
49% · 224 games46% · 324 games
SnapfirepLAnet
Snapfire
Ringmaster
RingmasterTims
44% · 200 games58% · 179 games
Baney`
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 58%
Series resultTeam Tidebound 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1