BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Yandexwin 1:0series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Tearlamentsloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Yandex
Nature's Prophetsignature
Watson · 21 game
Pangoliersignature
Noticed · 19 games
Warlock
Solo · 18 games
Hoodwinksignature
prblms · 16 games
Jakirosignature
Malady · 16 games
Tusk
prblms · 16 games
Gyrocoptersignature
TA2000 · 15 games
Axesignature
Noticed · 14 games
Tearlaments
Nature's Prophetsignature
7e · 16 games
Hoodwinksignature
7e · 13 games
Marsoften banned
Srf · 11 games
Sand Kingsignature
Echo · 11 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Srf · 10 games
Snapfiresignature
7e · 10 games
Templar Assassinsignature
poyoyo · 9 games
Enchantresssignature
zzq · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
777 picks · 354 bans
Disruptor
582 picks · 596 bans
Hoodwink
562 picks · 299 bans
Dragon Knight
467 picks · 539 bans
Jakiro
464 picks · 283 bans
Tusk
464 picks · 275 bans
Mars
452 picks · 739 bans
Puck
432 picks · 1124 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 65%
Hero pool strength53% Tearlaments
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:8
Team Yandex 70%Tearlaments 30%
The model gave 70% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 24:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
UrsaWatson
Juggernautpoyoyo
Sand KingChira JUNIOR
Mars7e
Dragon KnightNoticed
UnderlordSrf
ChenMalady
HoodwinkTK
Shadow DemonSaksa
Jakirozzq
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 83%
Series resultTeam Yandex 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1