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BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
OGwin 1:0
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Yakult Brothersloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Jakiro
Jakiro
Kidaro · 28 games
43%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Daze · 25 games
56%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
MikSa` · 23 games
35%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Stojkov · 22 games
50%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Shad · 22 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Stojkov · 20 games
45%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Lelis · 19 games
58%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Daze · 19 games
42%

Yakult Brothers

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 31 game
45%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Emo · 21 game
52%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Poloson · 19 games
74%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Emo · 16 games
38%
Bane
Bane
Oli · 15 games
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
flyfly · 15 games
47%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Poloson · 14 games
29%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Magesignature
flyfly · 13 games
69%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
774 picks · 354 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
587 picks · 599 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
559 picks · 299 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
458 picks · 275 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
457 picks · 536 bans
49%
Jakiro
Jakiro
452 picks · 280 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
448 picks · 737 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
430 picks · 1126 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 44%
Hero pool strength51% Yakult Brothers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:13
OG 60%Yakult Brothers 40%
The model gave 60% on OG — the game was taken by OG in 40:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Marci
MarciNatsumi
49% · 149 games44% · 73 games
Alchemistflyfly
Alchemist
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightYopaj
46% · 303 games50% · 359 games
Centaur Warrunnerzeal
Centaur Warrunner
Mars
MarsForce
44% · 213 games56% · 358 games
Ember SpiritEmo
Ember Spirit
Jakiro
JakiroSkem
50% · 329 games60% · 232 games
Chen天命
Chen
Snapfire
SnapfireTims
51% · 269 games50% · 241 game
Shadow DemonBoBoKa
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 68%
Series resultOG 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1