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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Yandexwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LGD Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Thiolicor · 16 games
69%
Bane
Banesignature
KJ · 15 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
KJ · 13 games
77%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangersignature
Yuma · 10 games
70%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
TaiLung · 9 games
67%
Puck
Pucksignature
TaiLung · 9 games
78%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Wisper · 9 games
56%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Wisper · 8 games
75%

Team Yandex

Tiny
Tiny
Saksa · 26 games
54%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 25 games
76%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 21 game
67%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 20 games
80%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Saksa · 19 games
74%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Watson · 19 games
89%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Saksa · 18 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 17 games
65%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
622 picks · 440 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
550 picks · 312 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
413 picks · 390 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
405 picks · 582 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
378 picks · 415 bans
48%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
344 picks · 499 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
343 picks · 635 bans
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
336 picks · 373 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 62%
Hero pool strength51% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total56% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct7:33
LGD Gaming 48%Team Yandex 52%
The model gave 52% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 32:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidYuma
59% · 52 games44% · 72 games
Drow RangerWatson
Drow Ranger
Puck
PuckTaiLung
50% · 407 games56% · 293 games
Centaur WarrunnerDM
Centaur Warrunner
Mars
MarsWisper
44% · 371 game52% · 268 games
SlardarChira JUNIOR
Slardar
Techies
TechiesThiolicor
47% · 174 games54% · 152 games
Treant ProtectorMalady
Treant Protector
Clockwerk
ClockwerkKJ
49% · 266 games49% · 485 games
HoodwinkSaksa
Hoodwink
Game 2prediction correct10:32
LGD Gaming 49%Team Yandex 51%
The model gave 51% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 33:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidYuma
64% · 53 games50% · 134 games
KezWatson
Kez
Snapfire
SnapfireWisper
53% · 168 games51% · 134 games
InvokerChira JUNIOR
Invoker
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritTaiLung
46% · 243 games44% · 205 games
UnderlordDM
Underlord
Venomancer
VenomancerKJ
52% · 50 games53% · 142 games
Keeper of the LightSaksa
Keeper of the Light
Clockwerk
ClockwerkThiolicor
47% · 167 games48% · 66 games
Winter WyvernMalady
Winter Wyvern
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 56%
Series resultTeam Yandex 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2