BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
Recrent Teamwin 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Dyrachyo Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Recrent Team
Doomoften banned
Petushara · 2 games
Lich
Ubica · 2 games
Phantom Assassin
Smiling Knight · 2 games
Snapfire
Shishak · 2 games
Techies
Shishak · 2 games
Alchemist
Smiling Knight · 1 game
Axeoften banned
Petushara · 1 game
Dazzleoften banned
Ubica · 1 game
Dyrachyo Team
Crystal Maiden
sony9sha · 4 games
Vengeful Spirit
sony9sha · 3 games
Leshrac
Sixyooo · 2 games
Spirit Breaker
Sixyooo · 2 games
Tusk
xsvampire · 2 games
Viper
LenaGol0vach · 2 games
Abaddonoften banned
LenaGol0vach · 1 game
Axeoften banned
LenaGol0vach · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
770 picks · 357 bans
Disruptor
590 picks · 605 bans
Hoodwink
560 picks · 299 bans
Dragon Knight
457 picks · 534 bans
Tusk
455 picks · 277 bans
Mars
451 picks · 740 bans
Jakiro
448 picks · 279 bans
Puck
431 picks · 1134 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 50%
Hero pool strength64% Recrent Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Recrent Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct45:25
Recrent Team 57%Dyrachyo Team 43%
The model gave 57% on Recrent Team — the game was taken by Recrent Team in 46:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll WarlordSmiling Knight
Ursadyrachyo
LeshracRecrent
AbaddonChud0
Primal BeastPetushara
Tinyhina
TechiesShishak
Grimstrokelowkez
GyrocopterUbica
SnapfireCheatbanned
Game 2prediction correct38:27
Recrent Team 58%Dyrachyo Team 42%
The model gave 58% on Recrent Team — the game was taken by Recrent Team in 37:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
GyrocopterSmiling Knight
Queen of Painhina
BrewmasterPetushara
Kezdyrachyo
WindrangerRecrent
TinyChud0
SnapfireUbica
Skywrath Magelowkez
TuskShishak
SilencerCheatbanned
Model check result
Model favoriteRecrent Team · 62%
Series resultRecrent Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2