BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 12 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
By_Owl Team
Warlock
by_Owl · 7 games
Doomoften banned
meLes · 5 games
Crystal Maiden
by_Owl · 4 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Koma` · 4 games
Magnus
meLes · 4 games
Snapfire
Нексюша · 4 games
Disruptoroften banned
by_Owl · 3 games
Grimstroke
by_Owl · 3 games
LenS Team
Bounty Hunteroften banned
ddeni · 2 games
Abaddonoften banned
Егор · 1 game
Bane
ddeni · 1 game
Clockwerk
ddeni · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Егор · 1 game
Dazzleoften banned
Артур Бабич · 1 game
Death Prophet
Егор · 1 game
Disruptoroften banned
ddeni · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
771 picks · 359 bans
Disruptor
593 picks · 608 bans
Hoodwink
558 picks · 299 bans
Dragon Knight
457 picks · 534 bans
Tusk
453 picks · 275 bans
Mars
451 picks · 738 bans
Jakiro
445 picks · 277 bans
Puck
438 picks · 1136 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 33%
Hero pool strength58% By_Owl Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total84% By_Owl Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed36:45
By_Owl Team 71%LenS Team 29%
The model gave 71% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by LenS Team in 55:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invokeravice
Anti-Magedizzying
MuertaKoma`
PangolierLenS
Tidehunterblindzone
MarsЕгор
Ringmasterrostikfacekid
Ancient ApparitionАртур Бабич
Ogre Magiby_Owl
Snapfireddeni
Game 2prediction correct34:10
By_Owl Team 69%LenS Team 31%
The model gave 69% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 31:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TerrorbladeKoma`
Dragon Knightdizzying
Axeblindzone
Shadow FiendLenS
Void Spiritavice
SlardarЕгор
Warlockby_Owl
Shadow ShamanАртур Бабич
Hoodwinkrostikfacekid
Snapfireddeni
Game 3prediction correct45:34
By_Owl Team 71%LenS Team 29%
The model gave 71% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 38:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Outworld DestroyerKoma`
Slarkdizzying
Lycanblindzone
UnderlordЕгор
Morphlingavice
SlardarLenS
Hoodwinkrostikfacekid
LionАртур Бабич
Undyingby_Owl
Clockwerkddeni
Model check result
Model favoriteBy_Owl Team · 84%
Series resultBy_Owl Team 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3