BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
Recrent Teamwin 2:0series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Stray Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Recrent Team
Phantom Assassin
Smiling Knight · 2 games
Axeoften banned
Petushara · 1 game
Dazzleoften banned
Ubica · 1 game
Doomoften banned
Petushara · 1 game
Grimstroke
Shishak · 1 game
Juggernaut
Smiling Knight · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
Petushara · 1 game
Lich
Ubica · 1 game
Stray Team
Dark Willow
lowkez · 5 games
Legion Commander
DkFogas · 5 games
Weaver
Retsu · 5 games
Crystal Maiden
Vovapain · 4 games
Dark Seeroften banned
DkFogas · 4 games
Muerta
Retsu · 4 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Stray · 4 games
Pudge
DkFogas · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
770 picks · 359 bans
Disruptor
597 picks · 609 bans
Hoodwink
558 picks · 300 bans
Dragon Knight
458 picks · 530 bans
Tusk
450 picks · 274 bans
Mars
449 picks · 737 bans
Jakiro
440 picks · 275 bans
Puck
440 picks · 1144 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Stray Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Stray Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed40:43
Recrent Team 42%Stray Team 58%
The model gave 58% on Stray Team — the game was taken by Recrent Team in 59:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
AlchemistSmiling Knight
BloodseekerRetsu
DoomPetushara
Queen of PainStray
InvokerRecrent
Night StalkerDkFogas
SnapfireShishak
Shadow ShamanGoodoq
UndyingUbica
Witch DoctorVovapain
Game 2prediction missed55:19
Recrent Team 45%Stray Team 55%
The model gave 55% on Stray Team — the game was taken by Recrent Team in 42:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
UrsaSmiling Knight
Anti-MageRetsu
Shadow FiendRecrent
UnderlordStray
Monkey KingPetushara
VisageDkFogas
TechiesShishak
LeshracGoodoq
LichUbica
BaneVovapain
Model check result
Model favoriteStray Team · 62%
Series resultRecrent Team 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2