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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Level UPloss 0:2
series probability
12%88%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nigma Galaxywin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Level UP

Windranger
Windranger
chempik · 9 games
33%
Techies
Techiessignature
Htrd · 6 games
83%
Lich
Lich
Htrd · 5 games
40%
Rubick
Rubick
queezy · 5 games
60%
Snapfire
Snapfireoften banned
queezy · 5 games
40%
Spectre
Spectreoften banned
WoE · 5 games
60%
Tiny
Tiny
Atoufix · 5 games
0%
Tusk
Tusk
lupsione · 5 games
40%

Nigma Galaxy

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
OmaR · 38 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
GH · 30 games
77%
Dazzle
Dazzle
GH · 28 games
54%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
GH · 25 games
68%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
OmaR · 25 games
56%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
No!ob · 23 games
57%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Davai · 23 games
48%
Underlord
Underlordsignature
Davai · 22 games
86%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
620 picks · 441 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
552 picks · 315 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
411 picks · 385 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
405 picks · 582 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
379 picks · 420 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
345 picks · 501 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
340 picks · 633 bans
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
337 picks · 374 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 67%
Hero pool strength58% Nigma Galaxy
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total88% Nigma Galaxy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:24
Level UP 26%Nigma Galaxy 74%
The model gave 74% on Nigma Galaxy — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 27:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomWoE
49% · 195 games50% · 317 games
TinySumaiL
Tiny
Leshrac
LeshracAinkrad
44% · 147 games54% · 128 games
ViperLorenof
Viper
Largo
LargoBb3px
57% · 207 games51% · 38 games
NecrophosDavai
Necrophos
Ringmaster
RingmasterHtrd
51% · 299 games49% · 127 games
DazzleGH
Dazzle
Dark Willow
Dark Willowqueezy
41% · 178 games51% · 416 games
HoodwinkOmaR
Hoodwink
Game 2prediction correct12:23
Level UP 23%Nigma Galaxy 77%
The model gave 77% on Nigma Galaxy — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 33:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerWoE
36% · 47 games59% · 130 games
AlchemistSumaiL
Alchemist
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerBb3px
48% · 96 games54% · 133 games
LycanDavai
Lycan
Pangolier
PangolierAinkrad
48% · 164 games47% · 55 games
SniperLorenof
Sniper
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkqueezy
46% · 250 games57% · 48 games
IoGH
Io
Undying
UndyingHtrd
48% · 69 games53% · 260 games
ClockwerkOmaR
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy · 88%
Series resultNigma Galaxy 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2