?
arrow_backBack to match
Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Aurora Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
PlayTimeloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Aurora Gaming

Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Kaori · 67 games
66%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 57 games
65%
Warlock
Warlocksignature
Kaori · 53 games
68%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kaori · 47 games
70%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mikoto · 46 games
74%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Nightfall · 46 games
65%
Lion
Lionsignature
Mira · 41 game
73%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Mikoto · 38 games
68%

PlayTime

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Scofield · 19 games
63%
Tusk
Tusk
DJ · 19 games
53%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Wits · 15 games
47%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Elmisho · 14 games
71%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Elmisho · 14 games
36%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 12 games
33%
Viper
Viperoften banned
DarkMago · 12 games
58%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Wits · 12 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
618 picks · 441 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
550 picks · 315 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
411 picks · 383 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
405 picks · 582 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
379 picks · 419 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
343 picks · 499 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
339 picks · 632 bans
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
337 picks · 373 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 53%
Hero pool strength58% Aurora Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Aurora Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:25
Aurora Gaming 65%PlayTime 35%
The model gave 65% on Aurora Gaming — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 46:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangerNightfall
44% · 246 games57% · 84 games
Drow RangerWits
Drow Ranger
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritMikoto
49% · 298 games59% · 97 games
Earth SpiritDarkMago
Earth Spirit
Largo
LargoWs
53% · 175 games50% · 253 games
DoomFrank
Doom
Rubick
RubickMira
40% · 344 games52% · 671 game
HoodwinkElmisho
Hoodwink
Jakiro
JakiroKaori
43% · 252 games53% · 210 games
LionScofield
Lion
Game 2prediction correct35:27
Aurora Gaming 66%PlayTime 34%
The model gave 66% on Aurora Gaming — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 44:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Undying
UndyingWs
51% · 113 games51% · 182 games
Nature's ProphetWits
Nature's Prophet
Alchemist
AlchemistNightfall
54% · 124 games51% · 56 games
Earth SpiritDarkMago
Earth Spirit
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritMikoto
53% · 328 games45% · 124 games
BrewmasterFrank
Brewmaster
Warlock
WarlockKaori
50% · 220 games55% · 382 games
HoodwinkElmisho
Hoodwink
Dark Willow
Dark WillowMira
44% · 139 games46% · 180 games
RubickScofield
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoriteAurora Gaming · 79%
Series resultAurora Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2