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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 0:2
series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Liquidwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
sayuw · 44 games
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 38 games
53%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirage · 37 games
78%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
RESPECT · 29 games
52%
Rubick
Rubick
sayuw · 26 games
54%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
Corrupted · 26 games
42%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
RESPECT · 25 games
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
sayuw · 25 games
68%

Team Liquid

Tiny
Tinysignature
miCKe · 40 games
65%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 32 games
69%
Tusk
Tusk
Boxi · 31 game
58%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 30 games
67%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Nisha · 27 games
59%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Nisha · 25 games
60%
Largo
Largosignature
tOfu · 24 games
63%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Nisha · 23 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
618 picks · 441 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
550 picks · 315 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
411 picks · 383 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
405 picks · 582 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
379 picks · 419 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
343 picks · 499 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
339 picks · 632 bans
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
337 picks · 373 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 52%
Hero pool strength53% Team Liquid
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total77% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:30
HULIGANI 34%Team Liquid 66%
The model gave 66% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 28:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
Lifestealerssnovv1
57% · 43 games50% · 96 games
InvokerNisha
Invoker
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritMirage
47% · 40 games52% · 17 games
SpectremiCKe
Spectre
Underlord
UnderlordCorrupted
48% · 86 games53% · 43 games
EnigmaAce
Enigma
Ringmaster
RingmasterRESPECT
50% · 82 games50% · 18 games
Witch DoctortOfu
Witch Doctor
Dark Willow
Dark WillowZayac
51% · 68 games45% · 145 games
ClockwerkBoxi
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct10:32
HULIGANI 36%Team Liquid 64%
The model gave 64% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 42:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangerssnovv1
48% · 84 games51% · 201 game
Shadow FiendmiCKe
Shadow Fiend
Void Spirit
Void SpiritMirage
44% · 245 games57% · 85 games
LycanAce
Lycan
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerCorrupted
52% · 281 game53% · 129 games
InvokerNisha
Invoker
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritZayac
52% · 50 games45% · 136 games
Dark WillowBoxi
Dark Willow
Bane
BaneRESPECT
50% · 217 games49% · 326 games
TusktOfu
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 77%
Series resultTeam Liquid 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2