Recrent Team vs LenS Team — prediction BSBХД 12 · Dota 2

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BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 12 · BO3

result vs prediction

Recrent Teamwin 2:0

series probability

58%42%

probability at match start · final 2:0

LenS Teamloss 0:2

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Recrent Team

No games played over 6 months.

LenS Team

No games played over 6 months.

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Snapfire

764 picks · 359 bans

54%

Disruptor

595 picks · 617 bans

51%

Hoodwink

554 picks · 300 bans

50%

Dragon Knight

457 picks · 522 bans

50%

Tusk

452 picks · 268 bans

51%

Mars

445 picks · 730 bans

51%

Puck

438 picks · 1159 bans

49%

Jakiro

427 picks · 267 bans

49%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%

Hero pool strength50% Recrent Team

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total58% Recrent Team

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction correct36:12

Recrent Team 55%LenS Team 45%

The model gave 55% on Recrent Team — the game was taken by Recrent Team in 35:27.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo