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PGL Wallachia Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
OGwin 2:1
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Jakiro
Jakiro
Kidaro · 24 games
46%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Daze · 24 games
58%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Stojkov · 22 games
50%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
MikSa` · 22 games
36%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Shad · 21 game
52%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Lelis · 19 games
58%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Stojkov · 19 games
47%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Daze · 18 games
44%

BETBOOM TEAM

Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 38 games
74%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 30 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 29 games
59%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 29 games
59%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 27 games
67%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
59%
Lifestealer
Lifestealersignature
Pure~ · 20 games
65%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 19 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
763 picks · 359 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
598 picks · 618 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
551 picks · 300 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
456 picks · 522 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
452 picks · 267 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
443 picks · 729 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
441 picks · 1161 bans
49%
Jakiro
Jakiro
426 picks · 266 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 55%
Hero pool strength57% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:27
OG 38%BETBOOM TEAM 62%
The model gave 62% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 48:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritYopaj
48% · 430 games53% · 222 games
MarciKiritych
Marci
Beastmaster
BeastmasterNatsumi
50% · 408 games48% · 533 games
PangoliergpK~
Pangolier
Abaddon
AbaddonForce
51% · 325 games54% · 319 games
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
Centaur Warrunner
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterSkem
51% · 346 games49% · 299 games
HoodwinkSave-
Hoodwink
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonTims
47% · 233 games50% · 369 games
WarlockKataomi
Warlock
Game 2prediction missed24:11
OG 38%BETBOOM TEAM 62%
The model gave 62% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by OG in 32:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightNatsumi
52% · 400 games46% · 265 games
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
Centaur Warrunner
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendYopaj
54% · 132 games50% · 141 game
LifestealerKiritych
Lifestealer
Mars
MarsForce
50% · 320 games45% · 351 game
JakirogpK~
Jakiro
Snapfire
SnapfireTims
52% · 438 games46% · 409 games
HoodwinkSave-
Hoodwink
Bane
BaneSkem
61% · 162 games46% · 286 games
WarlockKataomi
Warlock
Game 3prediction missed33:13
OG 37%BETBOOM TEAM 63%
The model gave 63% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by OG in 38:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetNatsumi
54% · 241 game53% · 83 games
JuggernautKiritych
Juggernaut
Slardar
SlardarYopaj
47% · 155 games53% · 364 games
Dragon KnightgpK~
Dragon Knight
Enchantress
EnchantressSkem
44% · 179 games49% · 165 games
DoomMieRo
Doom
Mars
MarsForce
46% · 234 games48% · 324 games
HoodwinkSave-
Hoodwink
Jakiro
JakiroTims
45% · 298 games61% · 171 game
BaneKataomi
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 70%
Series resultOG 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3