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PGL Wallachia Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
series probability
93%7%
probability at match start · final 2:1
GamerLegionloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 37 games
73%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 30 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 28 games
57%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 28 games
64%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 28 games
57%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Pure~ · 23 games
57%
Windranger
Windranger
Save- · 21 game
57%
Lifestealer
Lifestealersignature
Pure~ · 20 games
65%

GamerLegion

Chen
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 4 games
25%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Speeed · 4 games
75%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Bignum · 4 games
75%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 3 games
0%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 3 games
67%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Fayde · 2 games
50%
Marci
Marcioften banned
YamSun · 2 games
0%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
RCY · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
757 picks · 358 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
606 picks · 625 bans
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
549 picks · 300 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
457 picks · 265 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
456 picks · 518 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
444 picks · 728 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
444 picks · 1179 bans
49%
Jakiro
Jakiro
418 picks · 263 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total93% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:21
BETBOOM TEAM 76%GamerLegion 24%
The model gave 76% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 37:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterKiritych
45% · 277 games53% · 278 games
Templar AssassinYamSun
Templar Assassin
Puck
PuckgpK~
45% · 472 games57% · 159 games
LycanFayde
Lycan
Underlord
UnderlordMieRo
42% · 93 games56% · 285 games
Void SpiritRCY
Void Spirit
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSave-
47% · 216 games54% · 343 games
JakiroSpeeed
Jakiro
Disruptor
DisruptorKataomi
49% · 338 games53% · 331 game
SnapfireBignum
Snapfire
Game 2prediction correct25:12
BETBOOM TEAM 78%GamerLegion 22%
The model gave 78% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 39:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautKiritych
50% · 63 games58% · 227 games
Nature's ProphetRCY
Nature's Prophet
Viper
VipergpK~
54% · 41 game48% · 244 games
Dragon KnightYamSun
Dragon Knight
Axe
AxeMieRo
41% · 176 games51% · 213 games
Centaur WarrunnerFayde
Centaur Warrunner
Ringmaster
RingmasterSave-
51% · 303 games57% · 249 games
WarlockSpeeed
Warlock
Jakiro
JakiroKataomi
48% · 484 games47% · 134 games
Shadow DemonBignum
Shadow Demon
Game 3prediction correct33:11
BETBOOM TEAM 79%GamerLegion 21%
The model gave 79% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 37:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterKiritych
46% · 259 games51% · 115 games
Troll WarlordYamSun
Troll Warlord
Doom
DoomMieRo
47% · 151 game52% · 231 game
TimbersawFayde
Timbersaw
Puck
PuckgpK~
49% · 391 game53% · 283 games
Void SpiritRCY
Void Spirit
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
48% · 341 game49% · 267 games
Shadow DemonBignum
Shadow Demon
Bane
BaneKataomi
53% · 131 game52% · 377 games
SnapfireSpeeed
Snapfire
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 93%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3