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PGL Wallachia Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 36 games
75%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 32 games
63%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 28 games
64%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 28 games
57%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 27 games
59%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Pure~ · 23 games
57%
Windranger
Windranger
Save- · 21 game
57%
Lifestealer
Lifestealersignature
Pure~ · 20 games
65%

PARIVISION

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 22 games
41%
Chen
Chensignature
Dukalis · 21 game
67%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Satanic · 21 game
76%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
No[o]ne · 20 games
55%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
DM · 19 games
68%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Satanic · 19 games
68%
Puck
Pucksignature
No[o]ne · 17 games
76%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 15 games
73%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
758 picks · 358 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
606 picks · 626 bans
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
548 picks · 300 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
458 picks · 268 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
455 picks · 516 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
446 picks · 1183 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
444 picks · 730 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
416 picks · 263 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% PARIVISION
Head-to-head3 – 9
Model total52% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:34
BETBOOM TEAM 49%PARIVISION 51%
The model gave 51% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 1:21:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of PaingpK~
44% · 312 games50% · 161 game
MedusaSatanic
Medusa
Juggernaut
JuggernautKiritych
55% · 75 games47% · 317 games
Storm SpiritNo[o]ne
Storm Spirit
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
48% · 442 games51% · 221 game
Centaur WarrunnerDM
Centaur Warrunner
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSave-
48% · 246 games48% · 309 games
JakiroDukalis
Jakiro
Bane
BaneKataomi
55% · 182 games57% · 249 games
Monkey King9Class
Monkey King
Game 2prediction correct30:29
BETBOOM TEAM 48%PARIVISION 52%
The model gave 52% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 56:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracgpK~
46% · 220 games54% · 269 games
TerrorbladeSatanic
Terrorblade
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterKiritych
46% · 388 games61% · 276 games
BristlebackDM
Bristleback
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
47% · 275 games55% · 160 games
SlardarNo[o]ne
Slardar
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
48% · 293 games51% · 228 games
Monkey King9Class
Monkey King
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageKataomi
40% · 65 games50% · 308 games
JakiroDukalis
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 52%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2