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PGL Wallachia Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Natus Vincereloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 36 games
75%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 32 games
63%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 28 games
57%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 27 games
59%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 25 games
64%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
55%
Windranger
Windranger
Save- · 21 game
57%
Lifestealer
Lifestealersignature
Pure~ · 20 games
65%

Natus Vincere

Warlock
Warlock
Kaori · 25 games
56%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
Riddys · 22 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
pma · 22 games
55%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
gotthejuice · 19 games
79%
Dazzle
Dazzleoften banned
Riddys · 17 games
53%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Kaori · 17 games
59%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Niku · 16 games
63%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
gotthejuice · 16 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
753 picks · 352 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
608 picks · 630 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
543 picks · 299 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
447 picks · 266 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
442 picks · 496 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
441 picks · 1181 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
433 picks · 722 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
391 picks · 251 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 63%
Hero pool strength50% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total61% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:13
BETBOOM TEAM 55%Natus Vincere 45%
The model gave 55% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 36:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautKiritych
53% · 46 games50% · 355 games
Dragon Knightgotthejuice
Dragon Knight
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetgpK~
52% · 265 games56% · 313 games
Bristlebackpma
Bristleback
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
44% · 214 games54% · 94 games
Shadow FiendNiku
Shadow Fiend
Muerta
MuertaSave-
44% · 300 games50% · 150 games
EnchantressZayac
Enchantress
Jakiro
JakiroKataomi
49% · 314 games50% · 227 games
PugnaRiddys
Pugna
Game 2prediction correct32:21
BETBOOM TEAM 56%Natus Vincere 44%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:03:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaKiritych
51% · 253 games49% · 429 games
Terrorbladegotthejuice
Terrorblade
Undying
UndyingMieRo
46% · 148 games48% · 379 games
Dragon KnightNiku
Dragon Knight
Muerta
MuertaSave-
46% · 303 games53% · 241 game
Marspma
Mars
Jakiro
JakiroKataomi
49% · 456 games52% · 194 games
EnchantressZayac
Enchantress
Beastmaster
BeastmastergpK~
54% · 418 games52% · 335 games
RingmasterRiddys
Ringmaster
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 61%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2