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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 0:2
1w Teamwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LGD Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Thiolicor · 16 games
69%
Bane
Banesignature
KJ · 15 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
KJ · 12 games
83%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangersignature
Yuma · 9 games
78%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Wisper · 9 games
56%
Kez
Kezsignature
TaiLung · 8 games
75%
Puck
Pucksignature
TaiLung · 8 games
88%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Wisper · 7 games
86%

1w Team

Puck
Puckoften banned
Squad1x · 29 games
41%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
swedenstrong · 27 games
52%
Tusk
Tusksignature
swedenstrong · 26 games
62%
Rubick
Rubick
swedenstrong · 25 games
48%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
мистер мораль · 23 games
57%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
мистер мораль · 22 games
41%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
мистер мораль · 21 game
62%
Venomancer
Venomancer
Rein · 21 game
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
620 picks · 444 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
554 picks · 317 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
412 picks · 381 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
408 picks · 592 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
383 picks · 428 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
344 picks · 504 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
338 picks · 631 bans
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
335 picks · 377 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)72% vs 60%
Hero pool strength60% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:45
LGD Gaming 60%1w Team 40%
The model gave 60% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by 1w Team in 32:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeYuma
46% · 144 games54% · 50 games
Lone DruidPure~
Lone Druid
Beastmaster
BeastmasterWisper
48% · 211 games51% · 328 games
Centaur Warrunner33
Centaur Warrunner
Puck
PuckTaiLung
50% · 297 games56% · 144 games
Earthshakerbzm
Earthshaker
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightThiolicor
51% · 97 games55% · 257 games
BaneWhitemon
Bane
Ringmaster
RingmasterKJ
52% · 195 games39% · 165 games
Dark WillowAri
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction missed32:46
LGD Gaming 61%1w Team 39%
The model gave 61% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by 1w Team in 52:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerYuma
52% · 100 games55% · 126 games
Invokerbzm
Invoker
Beastmaster
BeastmasterTaiLung
48% · 314 games52% · 119 games
Lycan33
Lycan
Batrider
BatriderWisper
51% · 278 games48% · 178 games
KezPure~
Kez
Enchantress
EnchantressKJ
41% · 181 game49% · 503 games
HoodwinkAri
Hoodwink
Clockwerk
ClockwerkThiolicor
48% · 279 games56% · 226 games
BaneWhitemon
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 70%
Series result1w Team 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2