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CIS Battle 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spirit Academywin 2:1
series probability
14%86%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Most Wantedloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit Academy

Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
rubikon155 · 6 games
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Aidar · 6 games
33%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
kyford · 6 games
67%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctorsignature
Aidar · 6 games
67%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
SunshineRR · 4 games
0%
Earthshaker
Earthshakeroften banned
86 · 4 games
75%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
rubikon155 · 4 games
75%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
86 · 4 games
25%

Most Wanted

Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
fortniteMan · 13 games
69%
Tusk
Tusk
Ponlo · 13 games
54%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
423 · 10 games
70%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Ponlo · 9 games
67%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
niche · 9 games
78%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
fortniteMan · 9 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Rein · 9 games
56%
Dazzle
Dazzlesignature
Rein · 8 games
88%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
732 picks · 348 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
603 picks · 635 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
515 picks · 266 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
431 picks · 1175 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
421 picks · 694 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
420 picks · 270 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
410 picks · 437 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
362 picks · 228 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 63%
Hero pool strength56% Most Wanted
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% Most Wanted
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:29
Team Spirit Academy 28%Most Wanted 72%
The model gave 72% on Most Wanted — the game was taken by Most Wanted in 29:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingrubikon155
49% · 195 games53% · 424 games
Gyrocopter423
Gyrocopter
Pangolier
Pangolier86
48% · 312 games57% · 312 games
Nature's Prophetniche
Nature's Prophet
Beastmaster
BeastmasterSunshineRR
43% · 355 games50% · 109 games
UnderlordfortniteMan
Underlord
Dark Willow
Dark WillowAidar
45% · 195 games57% · 133 games
Bounty HunterShishak
Bounty Hunter
Disruptor
Disruptorkyford
43% · 223 games56% · 302 games
PugnaRein
Pugna
Game 2prediction missed33:26
Team Spirit Academy 26%Most Wanted 74%
The model gave 74% on Most Wanted — the game was taken by Team Spirit Academy in 41:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
Abaddonrubikon155
55% · 184 games47% · 258 games
Puckniche
Puck
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit86
58% · 36 games49% · 124 games
Ursa423
Ursa
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerSunshineRR
43% · 141 game53% · 124 games
Dark SeerfortniteMan
Dark Seer
Witch Doctor
Witch DoctorAidar
44% · 8 games60% · 15 games
Spirit BreakerShishak
Spirit Breaker
Disruptor
Disruptorkyford
48% · 174 games47% · 22 games
IoRein
Io
Game 3prediction missed
Team Spirit Academy 14%Most Wanted 86%
The model gave 86% on Most Wanted — the game was taken by Team Spirit Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteMost Wanted · 86%
Series resultTeam Spirit Academy 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3