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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Virtus.proloss 0:2
series probability
13%87%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Yandexwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Virtus.pro

Jakiro
Jakiro
Fly · 29 games
34%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Abed · 21 game
43%
Tiny
Tiny
Hellscream · 21 game
38%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Abed · 20 games
45%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Timado · 19 games
42%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Abed · 18 games
44%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Fly · 17 games
29%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
SabeRLight- · 17 games
47%

Team Yandex

Tiny
Tiny
Saksa · 26 games
54%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 25 games
76%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 20 games
80%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 20 games
65%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Saksa · 19 games
74%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Watson · 19 games
89%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Saksa · 18 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 17 games
65%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
619 picks · 444 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
553 picks · 317 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
412 picks · 381 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
406 picks · 592 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
383 picks · 428 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
344 picks · 502 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
338 picks · 631 bans
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
335 picks · 376 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 60%
Hero pool strength62% Team Yandex
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total87% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:28
Virtus.pro 27%Team Yandex 73%
The model gave 73% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 32:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendTimado
50% · 132 games45% · 30 games
Phantom LancerWatson
Phantom Lancer
Pangolier
PangolierAbed
43% · 142 games54% · 58 games
Earth SpiritChira JUNIOR
Earth Spirit
Largo
LargoSabeRLight-
53% · 57 games53% · 68 games
EnigmaDM
Enigma
Rubick
RubickHellscream
44% · 93 games49% · 346 games
SnapfireSaksa
Snapfire
Bane
BaneFly
58% · 112 games45% · 34 games
Witch DoctorMalady
Witch Doctor
Game 2prediction correct6:32
Virtus.pro 28%Team Yandex 72%
The model gave 72% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 23:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Pangolier
PangolierAbed
44% · 362 games47% · 162 games
KezWatson
Kez
Lone Druid
Lone DruidTimado
63% · 46 games47% · 75 games
EnigmaDM
Enigma
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerSabeRLight-
53% · 301 game49% · 317 games
SlardarChira JUNIOR
Slardar
Snapfire
SnapfireHellscream
49% · 367 games50% · 564 games
HoodwinkSaksa
Hoodwink
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernFly
49% · 67 games58% · 25 games
Witch DoctorMalady
Witch Doctor
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 87%
Series resultTeam Yandex 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2