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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
OGwin 2:0
series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Inner Circleloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Tims · 15 games
33%
Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 15 games
40%
Windranger
Windranger
Natsumi · 15 games
53%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Yopaj · 14 games
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Skem · 13 games
46%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Force · 12 games
25%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Force · 11 games
64%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Skem · 11 games
36%

Inner Circle

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 29 games
45%
Tiny
Tiny
Jing · 24 games
54%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Fernans · 23 games
48%
Warlock
Warlock
Se · 21 game
43%
Puck
Puckoften banned
niche · 19 games
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
niche · 17 games
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
niche · 17 games
35%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Se · 16 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
618 picks · 444 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
553 picks · 317 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
412 picks · 379 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
406 picks · 592 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
383 picks · 428 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
344 picks · 501 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
336 picks · 631 bans
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
334 picks · 375 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 52%
Hero pool strength50% Inner Circle
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total88% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:17
OG 74%Inner Circle 26%
The model gave 74% on OG — the game was taken by OG in 43:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Necrophos
NecrophosNatsumi
56% · 80 games44% · 206 games
Queen of PainStojkov
Queen of Pain
Dark Seer
Dark SeerRaven
48% · 99 games48% · 249 games
Shadow Fiend423
Shadow Fiend
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritYopaj
49% · 491 game48% · 202 games
Axelaise
Axe
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSkem
59% · 205 games50% · 367 games
HoodwinkFernans
Hoodwink
Clockwerk
ClockwerkTims
46% · 288 games53% · 139 games
EnchantressSe
Enchantress
Game 2prediction correct14:10
OG 74%Inner Circle 26%
The model gave 74% on OG — the game was taken by OG in 30:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeNatsumi
48% · 240 games51% · 174 games
KezStojkov
Kez
Puck
PuckYopaj
50% · 379 games60% · 38 games
Broodmother423
Broodmother
Doom
DoomRaven
52% · 163 games52% · 335 games
Slardarlaise
Slardar
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSkem
54% · 114 games45% · 319 games
SnapfireFernans
Snapfire
Clockwerk
ClockwerkTims
43% · 176 games51% · 206 games
RingmasterSe
Ringmaster
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 88%
Series resultOG 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2