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European Pro League Season 32 · BO3
result vs prediction
Natus Vincere Juniorwin 2:0
series probability
19%81%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Most Wantedloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Natus Vincere Junior

Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Riddys · 23 games
78%
Tiny
Tiny
Niku · 16 games
38%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Zayac · 15 games
47%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Niku · 13 games
69%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Niku · 12 games
50%
Warlock
Warlock
Riddys · 12 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
pma · 11 games
45%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
rubikon155 · 10 games
30%

Most Wanted

Tusk
Tusk
Ponlo · 11 games
55%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
fortniteMan · 10 games
90%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
423 · 10 games
70%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Ponlo · 9 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Rein · 8 games
63%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
niche · 7 games
29%
Puck
Pucksignature
niche · 7 games
71%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Ponlo · 7 games
86%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
728 picks · 348 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
601 picks · 632 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
508 picks · 261 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
426 picks · 1173 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
419 picks · 693 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
419 picks · 264 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
406 picks · 429 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
358 picks · 220 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)21% vs 65%
Hero pool strength54% Most Wanted
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% Most Wanted
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Natus Vincere Junior 19%Most Wanted 81%
The model gave 81% on Most Wanted — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior.
Game 2prediction missed
Natus Vincere Junior 19%Most Wanted 81%
The model gave 81% on Most Wanted — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior.
Model check result
Model favoriteMost Wanted · 81%
Series resultNatus Vincere Junior 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2