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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 0:2
series probability
16%84%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Aurora Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
sayuw · 43 games
58%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirage · 37 games
78%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 36 games
56%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
RESPECT · 29 games
52%
Rubick
Rubick
sayuw · 26 games
54%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
Corrupted · 26 games
42%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
sayuw · 25 games
68%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Corrupted · 25 games
48%

Aurora Gaming

Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Kaori · 68 games
66%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 57 games
65%
Warlock
Warlocksignature
Kaori · 54 games
67%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Nightfall · 49 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kaori · 47 games
70%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mikoto · 46 games
74%
Lion
Lionsignature
Mira · 39 games
72%
Tiny
Tiny
Nightfall · 39 games
59%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
617 picks · 439 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
553 picks · 320 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
410 picks · 376 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
407 picks · 592 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
385 picks · 432 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
340 picks · 495 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
332 picks · 629 bans
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
332 picks · 373 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 60%
Hero pool strength55% Aurora Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total84% Aurora Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:34
HULIGANI 30%Aurora Gaming 70%
The model gave 70% on Aurora Gaming — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 39:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
Alchemistssnovv1
53% · 59 games55% · 282 games
Shadow FiendNightfall
Shadow Fiend
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritMirage
45% · 247 games42% · 148 games
UndyingWs
Undying
Axe
AxeCorrupted
45% · 176 games52% · 233 games
Monkey KingMikoto
Monkey King
Enchantress
EnchantressRESPECT
47% · 112 games53% · 75 games
Winter WyvernKaori
Winter Wyvern
Hoodwink
HoodwinkZayac
53% · 342 games56% · 198 games
LionMira
Lion
Game 2prediction correct11:30
HULIGANI 29%Aurora Gaming 71%
The model gave 71% on Aurora Gaming — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 33:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
Lifestealerssnovv1
43% · 43 games55% · 71 game
NecrophosMikoto
Necrophos
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritMirage
45% · 132 games48% · 17 games
SpectreNightfall
Spectre
Axe
AxeCorrupted
47% · 119 games50% · 135 games
LargoWs
Largo
Ringmaster
RingmasterRESPECT
46% · 82 games62% · 131 game
LionMira
Lion
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritZayac
47% · 32 games53% · 54 games
Winter WyvernKaori
Winter Wyvern
Model check result
Model favoriteAurora Gaming · 84%
Series resultAurora Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2