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DreamLeague Division 2 Season 2 · BO1
result vs prediction
4Piratesloss 0:1
series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Teawin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

4Pirates

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
мистер мораль · 37 games
46%
Batrider
Batridersignature
ariel · 36 games
61%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Otaker · 32 games
59%
Tusk
Tusk
PERDAN4IK · 32 games
38%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
ariel · 31 game
61%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
мистер мораль · 24 games
54%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirensignature
PERDAN4IK · 23 games
61%
Sniper
Snipersignature
NattyNarwhal · 23 games
65%

Team Tea

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
dEsire · 18 games
83%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
SoNNeikO · 18 games
61%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
xn丶e · 17 games
59%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Worick · 15 games
73%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Cloud · 14 games
57%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Cloud · 12 games
58%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Cloud · 12 games
50%
Pudge
Pudge
OneJey · 11 games
55%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
711 picks · 345 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
594 picks · 628 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
497 picks · 255 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
411 picks · 1164 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
404 picks · 683 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
403 picks · 255 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
391 picks · 401 bans
52%
Pugna
Pugna
348 picks · 396 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 55%
Hero pool strength51% Team Tea
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total67% Team Tea
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:49
4Pirates 40%Team Tea 60%
The model gave 60% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 30:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingzvёzd
50% · 222 games50% · 269 games
GyrocopterShigetsu
Gyrocopter
Primal Beast
Primal Beastмистер мораль
49% · 168 games51% · 382 games
Storm Spiritxn丶e
Storm Spirit
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritNattyNarwhal
50% · 365 games51% · 352 games
BristlebackCloud
Bristleback
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mageariel
43% · 70 games55% · 64 games
PudgeOneJey
Pudge
Tusk
TuskPERDAN4IK
47% · 444 games53% · 202 games
SnapfireRESPECT
Snapfire
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tea · 67%
Series resultTeam Tea 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1