Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Северная Америка 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
5ManMidaswin 2:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Feltloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
5ManMidas
No games played over 6 months.
Felt
Axeoften banned
Zore · 4 games
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
solji · 3 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Zore · 3 games
Queen of Painoften banned
solji · 2 games
Slarkoften banned
Kom4rt · 2 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
solji · 2 games
Timbersawoften banned
Zore · 2 games
Ursaoften banned
Kom4rt · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
432 picks · 989 bans
Void Spirit
413 picks · 575 bans
Death Prophet
365 picks · 710 bans
Mars
350 picks · 593 bans
Earth Spirit
312 picks · 308 bans
Grimstroke
305 picks · 285 bans
Tusk
304 picks · 204 bans
Phoenix
256 picks · 412 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)17% vs 33%
Hero pool strength50% Felt
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Felt
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteFelt · 50%
Series result5ManMidas 2:1
Series predictionmissed