BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
5RATFORCESTAFFwin 2:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
5ManMidasloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
5RATFORCESTAFF
Death Prophetoften banned
Speeed · 12 games
Jakiro
albinozebra · 12 games
Tiny
Giant · 8 games
Abaddonsignature
albinozebra · 7 games
Clockwerk
albinozebra · 7 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
dnm · 7 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
dnm · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Giant · 6 games
5ManMidas
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
651 picks · 509 bans
Marci
473 picks · 702 bans
Dawnbreaker
425 picks · 603 bans
Puck
418 picks · 878 bans
Winter Wyvern
338 picks · 414 bans
Zeus
289 picks · 386 bans
Death Prophet
286 picks · 477 bans
Razor
270 picks · 484 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 36%
Hero pool strength51% 5RATFORCESTAFF
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total64% 5RATFORCESTAFF
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct56:25
5RATFORCESTAFF 64%5ManMidas 36%
The model gave 64% on 5RATFORCESTAFF — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF in 38:19.
Game 2prediction correct23:12
5RATFORCESTAFF 64%5ManMidas 36%
The model gave 64% on 5RATFORCESTAFF — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF in 28:53.
Model check result
Model favorite5RATFORCESTAFF · 64%
Series result5RATFORCESTAFF 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2