BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
5RATFORCESTAFFloss 1:1series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:1
No Runesloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
5RATFORCESTAFF
Jakiro
albinozebra · 13 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Speeed · 12 games
Faceless Voidsignature
dnm · 8 games
Tiny
Giant · 8 games
Abaddonsignature
albinozebra · 7 games
Clockwerk
albinozebra · 7 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
dnm · 6 games
Pangoliersignature
red2 · 6 games
No Runes
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
638 picks · 497 bans
Marci
468 picks · 689 bans
Dawnbreaker
410 picks · 577 bans
Puck
404 picks · 856 bans
Winter Wyvern
331 picks · 407 bans
Death Prophet
297 picks · 478 bans
Zeus
278 picks · 375 bans
Enchantress
268 picks · 320 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 45%
Hero pool strength50% 5RATFORCESTAFF
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% No Runes
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:39
5RATFORCESTAFF 49%No Runes 51%
The model gave 51% on No Runes — the game was taken by No Runes in 36:40.
Game 2prediction missed27:7
5RATFORCESTAFF 49%No Runes 51%
The model gave 51% on No Runes — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF in 33:17.
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Runes · 51%
Accuracy by game1 of 2