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BTS Pro Series Season 14: Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
5RATFORCESTAFFwin 2:0
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Ravensloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

5RATFORCESTAFF

Jakiro
Jakiro
albinozebra · 35 games
57%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Speeed · 12 games
50%
Silencer
Silencer
albinozebra · 12 games
33%
Broodmother
Broodmothersignature
Speeed · 11 games
73%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
dnm · 11 games
55%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
dnm · 11 games
55%
Rubick
Rubick
CTOMAHEH1 · 11 games
45%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
albinozebra · 11 games
73%

Ravens

Rubick
Rubick
d1smar · 14 games
14%
Tiny
Tiny
d1smar · 14 games
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Cara · 13 games
62%
Visage
Visagesignature
Benjaz · 11 games
64%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Benjaz · 10 games
40%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
PiPi · 9 games
11%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Benjaz · 8 games
75%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
DaaD- · 8 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
616 picks · 397 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
543 picks · 526 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
528 picks · 430 bans
48%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
423 picks · 509 bans
56%
Mirana
Mirana
376 picks · 372 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
355 picks · 194 bans
45%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
318 picks · 208 bans
58%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
315 picks · 469 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 39%
Hero pool strength56% 5RATFORCESTAFF
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total61% 5RATFORCESTAFF
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:12
5RATFORCESTAFF 57%Ravens 43%
The model gave 57% on 5RATFORCESTAFF — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF in 30:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetdnm
49% · 201 game48% · 148 games
TerrorbladeMnz
Terrorblade
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painred2
50% · 148 games46% · 216 games
BeastmasterBenjaz
Beastmaster
Primal Beast
Primal BeastSpeeed
52% · 184 games51% · 231 game
BatriderPiPi
Batrider
Rubick
RubickMoOz
47% · 364 games51% · 415 games
Tuskd1smar
Tusk
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoralbinozebra
56% · 295 games50% · 182 games
Crystal MaidenCara
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction correct38:13
5RATFORCESTAFF 61%Ravens 39%
The model gave 61% on 5RATFORCESTAFF — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF in 34:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
Leshracred2
62% · 217 games38% · 47 games
Troll WarlordMnz
Troll Warlord
Marci
Marcidnm
53% · 290 games38% · 238 games
Ember SpiritPiPi
Ember Spirit
Broodmother
BroodmotherSpeeed
55% · 170 games52% · 161 game
BeastmasterBenjaz
Beastmaster
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magealbinozebra
64% · 133 games44% · 251 game
Rubickd1smar
Rubick
Riki
RikiMoOz
51% · 106 games41% · 219 games
Crystal MaidenCara
Crystal Maiden
Model check result
Model favorite5RATFORCESTAFF · 61%
Series result5RATFORCESTAFF 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2