Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 2:0series probability
94%6%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Nemesisloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spirit
Hoodwink
rue · 41 game
Tuskoften banned
rue · 21 game
Batridersignature
Collapse · 20 games
Largosignature
Collapse · 20 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Larl · 20 games
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 19 games
Pangolieroften banned
Collapse · 19 games
Pucksignature
Larl · 19 games
Team Nemesis
Tinysignature
rubikon155 · 24 games
Pangolieroften banned
Jabz · 18 games
Slardaroften banned
Jabz · 18 games
Windranger
Q · 17 games
Hoodwinksignature
Lelis · 14 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Jhocam · 14 games
Muertaoften banned
23savage · 13 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Mac · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
617 picks · 437 bans
Rubick
556 picks · 323 bans
Pangolier
414 picks · 593 bans
Tiny
407 picks · 370 bans
Phoenix
388 picks · 439 bans
Ember Spirit
336 picks · 493 bans
Storm Spirit
329 picks · 375 bans
Clockwerk
324 picks · 626 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 56%
Hero pool strength52% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total94% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:25
Team Spirit 79%Team Nemesis 21%
The model gave 79% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 42:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendYatoro
Windrangerrubikon155
PuckLarl
Sniper4nalog
AxeCollapse
SnapfireJabz
Undyingrue
DisruptorYamSun
Rubicknot me
ClockwerkLelis
Game 2prediction correct42:38
Team Spirit 80%Team Nemesis 20%
The model gave 80% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 46:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone DruidYatoro
Beastmasterrubikon155
LinaLarl
Snapfire4nalog
AxeCollapse
EnigmaJabz
Hoodwinknot me
DisruptorYamSun
Lichrue
ClockwerkLelis
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 94%
Series resultTeam Spirit 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2