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BLAST Slam V. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Boboka fanwin 2:1
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Cloud Risingloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Boboka fan

No games played over 6 months.

Cloud Rising

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Q7 · 4 games
25%
Sven
Sven
Yumeyume · 3 games
67%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Q7 · 3 games
33%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Yumeyume · 2 games
0%
Leshrac
Leshrac
Q7 · 2 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Q7 · 2 games
50%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
Yumeyume · 2 games
50%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
Yumeyume · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
654 picks · 321 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
563 picks · 568 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
413 picks · 221 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
404 picks · 1153 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
376 picks · 631 bans
52%
Pugna
Pugna
356 picks · 398 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
356 picks · 263 bans
50%
Warlock
Warlock
353 picks · 158 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 38%
Hero pool strength52% Boboka fan
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Cloud Rising
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Boboka fan 42%Cloud Rising 58%
The model gave 58% on Cloud Rising — the game was taken by Boboka fan.
Game 2prediction correct
Boboka fan 42%Cloud Rising 58%
The model gave 58% on Cloud Rising — the game was taken by Cloud Rising.
Game 3prediction missed
Boboka fan 42%Cloud Rising 58%
The model gave 58% on Cloud Rising — the game was taken by Boboka fan.
Model check result
Model favoriteCloud Rising · 58%
Series resultBoboka fan 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3