BLAST Slam V. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Roar Gamingwin 1:0series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 1:0
TGthe goal of all life is deathloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Roar Gaming
Snapfire
CatYou · 16 games
Disruptoroften banned
RedPanda · 12 games
Abaddonoften banned
Ulu · 9 games
Jakiro
RedPanda · 9 games
Marssignature
生死 · 9 games
Pangolieroften banned
生死 · 9 games
Queen of Painoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 9 games
Shadow Demon
CatYou · 9 games
the goal of all life is death
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
653 picks · 320 bans
Disruptor
561 picks · 570 bans
Hoodwink
413 picks · 219 bans
Puck
405 picks · 1153 bans
Mars
377 picks · 632 bans
Tusk
358 picks · 265 bans
Pugna
356 picks · 398 bans
Warlock
353 picks · 158 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 60%
Hero pool strength51% Roar Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Roar Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Roar Gaming 72%the goal of all life is death 28%
The model gave 72% on Roar Gaming — the game was taken by Roar Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteRoar Gaming · 72%
Series resultRoar Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1