Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 2:0series probability
92%8%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Level UPloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Tinysignature
miCKe · 40 games
Tuskoften banned
Boxi · 32 games
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 31 game
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 30 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Nisha · 27 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 25 games
Largosignature
tOfu · 23 games
Underlordsignature
Ace · 23 games
Level UP
Windranger
chempik · 7 games
Lich
Htrd · 5 games
Rubick
queezy · 5 games
Techies
Htrd · 5 games
Tiny
Atoufix · 5 games
Tuskoften banned
lupsione · 5 games
Underlordoften banned
Norma · 5 games
Centaur Warrunner
Norma · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
612 picks · 437 bans
Rubick
555 picks · 323 bans
Pangolier
413 picks · 593 bans
Tiny
407 picks · 370 bans
Phoenix
387 picks · 438 bans
Ember Spirit
333 picks · 492 bans
Storm Spirit
327 picks · 374 bans
Clockwerk
322 picks · 624 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 55%
Hero pool strength59% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total92% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:23
Team Liquid 78%Level UP 22%
The model gave 78% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 57:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendmiCKe
Drow RangerWoE
Earth SpiritNisha
Void SpiritAinkrad
AxeAce
BrewmasterBb3px
Dark WillowBoxi
TechiesHtrd
UndyingtOfu
Hoodwinkqueezy
Game 2prediction correct32:6
Team Liquid 78%Level UP 22%
The model gave 78% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 24:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendmiCKe
Dark SeerBb3px
AxeAce
WindrangerWoE
Ember SpiritNisha
SnapfireAinkrad
HoodwinkBoxi
UndyingHtrd
LargotOfu
Lionqueezy
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 92%
Series resultTeam Liquid 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2