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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 1:1
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:1
PlayTimeloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
sayuw · 43 games
58%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirage · 37 games
78%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 35 games
54%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
RESPECT · 29 games
52%
Rubick
Rubick
sayuw · 26 games
54%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
Corrupted · 26 games
42%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
sayuw · 25 games
68%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Corrupted · 25 games
48%

PlayTime

Tusk
Tuskoften banned
DJ · 19 games
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Scofield · 18 games
61%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Elmisho · 14 games
71%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Elmisho · 14 games
36%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Wits · 14 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 12 games
33%
Viper
Viperoften banned
DarkMago · 12 games
58%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Wits · 12 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
612 picks · 435 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
555 picks · 323 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
413 picks · 591 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
407 picks · 370 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
387 picks · 438 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
332 picks · 491 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
327 picks · 373 bans
47%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
321 picks · 623 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 53%
Hero pool strength53% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:7
HULIGANI 51%PlayTime 49%
The model gave 51% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 32:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladessnovv1
48% · 216 games50% · 229 games
Shadow FiendWits
Shadow Fiend
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritMirage
49% · 300 games50% · 282 games
SlardarDarkMago
Slardar
Dark Seer
Dark SeerCorrupted
45% · 100 games53% · 107 games
LargoFrank
Largo
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritZayac
48% · 41 game52% · 221 game
BatriderElmisho
Batrider
Ringmaster
RingmasterRESPECT
51% · 233 games55% · 51 game
Nyx AssassinScofield
Nyx Assassin
Game 2prediction missed13:36
HULIGANI 51%PlayTime 49%
The model gave 51% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by PlayTime in 37:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendssnovv1
47% · 173 games46% · 45 games
NecrophosDarkMago
Necrophos
Invoker
InvokerMirage
48% · 74 games55% · 82 games
ClinkzWits
Clinkz
Doom
DoomCorrupted
48% · 87 games60% · 55 games
EnigmaFrank
Enigma
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritZayac
48% · 43 games53% · 109 games
Treant ProtectorElmisho
Treant Protector
Ringmaster
RingmasterRESPECT
52% · 90 games45% · 176 games
ClockwerkScofield
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 54%
Accuracy by game1 of 2