Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GamerLegion
Storm Spiritoften banned
RCY · 24 games
Tusksignature
Bignum · 22 games
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 18 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 18 games
Warlock
Speeed · 18 games
Phoenixoften banned
Speeed · 17 games
Rubick
Bignum · 17 games
Chensignature
Speeed · 16 games
Xtreme Gaming
Phoenixoften banned
xNova · 31 game
Hoodwink
fy · 27 games
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 25 games
Tiny
NothingToSay · 24 games
Slardarsignature
Xxs · 20 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 19 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Ame · 18 games
Kezoften banned
Ame · 18 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
614 picks · 434 bans
Rubick
556 picks · 323 bans
Pangolier
414 picks · 591 bans
Tiny
405 picks · 369 bans
Phoenix
387 picks · 441 bans
Ember Spirit
331 picks · 486 bans
Storm Spirit
327 picks · 372 bans
Clockwerk
319 picks · 623 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 36%
Hero pool strength53% GamerLegion
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total58% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:30
GamerLegion 46%Xtreme Gaming 54%
The model gave 54% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 44:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LargoRCY
Lone DruidAme
Shadow FiendGhost
LinaNothingToSay
EnigmaFayde
Dark SeerXxs
Dark WillowBignum
Spirit Breakerfy
Winter WyvernSpeeed
LichxNova
Game 2prediction correct37:35
GamerLegion 46%Xtreme Gaming 54%
The model gave 54% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 1:05:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
NecrophosGhost
Lone DruidAme
KunkkaRCY
Nature's ProphetNothingToSay
UnderlordFayde
SnapfireXxs
Winter WyvernSpeeed
LichxNova
Dark WillowBignum
Rubickfy
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 58%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2