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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 2:0
series probability
95%5%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Rune Eatersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Tiny
Tinysignature
Skiter · 33 games
76%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ATF · 24 games
50%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
ATF · 24 games
54%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 23 games
61%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Cr1t- · 22 games
59%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Cr1t- · 22 games
55%
Razor
Razor
ATF · 22 games
59%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
ATF · 21 game
62%

Rune Eaters

Tusk
Tuskoften banned
ani-san · 34 games
50%
Tiny
Tiny
ani-san · 24 games
33%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Kidaro · 23 games
35%
Windranger
Windranger
yowaai · 21 game
52%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ankou · 18 games
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 18 games
67%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Ethereal · 17 games
47%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Ethereal · 16 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
614 picks · 434 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
556 picks · 323 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
414 picks · 591 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
405 picks · 369 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
387 picks · 441 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
331 picks · 486 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
327 picks · 372 bans
47%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
319 picks · 623 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 43%
Hero pool strength57% Team Falcons
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total95% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct44:31
Team Falcons 81%Rune Eaters 19%
The model gave 81% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 52:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendSkiter
50% · 358 games55% · 311 games
PuckCopy
Puck
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritMalr1ne
53% · 69 games47% · 236 games
WindrangerDarkLord^
Windranger
Axe
AxeATF
47% · 270 games52% · 149 games
DoomMalik
Doom
Undying
UndyingSneyking
46% · 142 games53% · 240 games
BatriderEkki
Batrider
Ringmaster
RingmasterCr1t-
53% · 262 games46% · 165 games
Clockwerkaik
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct35:16
Team Falcons 81%Rune Eaters 19%
The model gave 81% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 33:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendSkiter
51% · 167 games53% · 193 games
Nature's ProphetDarkLord^
Nature's Prophet
Timbersaw
TimbersawATF
39% · 154 games53% · 209 games
DoomMalik
Doom
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritMalr1ne
50% · 242 games53% · 64 games
Earth SpiritCopy
Earth Spirit
Undying
UndyingSneyking
45% · 100 games54% · 316 games
BatriderEkki
Batrider
Clockwerk
ClockwerkCr1t-
49% · 162 games51% · 43 games
Miranaaik
Mirana
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 95%
Series resultTeam Falcons 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2