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BLAST Slam IV · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 2:1
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Larl · 21 game
67%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Miposhka · 17 games
65%
Bane
Banesignature
Miposhka · 15 games
93%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Miposhka · 15 games
53%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Yatoro · 15 games
60%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Larl · 14 games
71%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Yatoro · 14 games
79%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Miposhka · 13 games
54%

BETBOOM TEAM

Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 32 games
75%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 32 games
63%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 24 games
63%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 24 games
54%
Windranger
Windranger
Save- · 24 games
58%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 22 games
59%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
50%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 21 game
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
636 picks · 317 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
550 picks · 556 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
404 picks · 1135 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
395 picks · 206 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
371 picks · 619 bans
52%
Pugna
Pugna
355 picks · 393 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
354 picks · 273 bans
50%
Warlock
Warlock
353 picks · 160 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 53%
Hero pool strength53% Team Spirit
Head-to-head3 – 6
Model total73% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:3
Team Spirit 61%BETBOOM TEAM 39%
The model gave 61% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 29:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeYatoro
51% · 281 game53% · 360 games
BristlebackKiritych
Bristleback
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetLarl
55% · 239 games43% · 377 games
Dragon KnightgpK~
Dragon Knight
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerCollapse
50% · 200 games51% · 107 games
Night StalkerMieRo
Night Stalker
Ringmaster
Ringmasterrue
54% · 194 games44% · 230 games
HoodwinkSave-
Hoodwink
Tusk
TuskPanto
50% · 394 games48% · 234 games
DisruptorKataomi
Disruptor
Game 2prediction missed18:36
Team Spirit 63%BETBOOM TEAM 37%
The model gave 63% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 48:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Clinkz
ClinkzYatoro
55% · 16 games49% · 247 games
TerrorbladeKiritych
Terrorblade
Mars
MarsCollapse
47% · 246 games45% · 252 games
Queen of PaingpK~
Queen of Pain
Monkey King
Monkey KingLarl
57% · 311 games52% · 318 games
Dragon KnightMieRo
Dragon Knight
Snapfire
Snapfirerue
51% · 348 games47% · 351 game
HoodwinkSave-
Hoodwink
Tusk
TuskPanto
52% · 403 games47% · 156 games
BaneKataomi
Bane
Game 3prediction correct25:4
Team Spirit 63%BETBOOM TEAM 37%
The model gave 63% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 31:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaYatoro
50% · 203 games49% · 281 game
Storm SpiritgpK~
Storm Spirit
Mars
MarsCollapse
46% · 212 games51% · 75 games
AxeMieRo
Axe
Primal Beast
Primal BeastLarl
53% · 186 games48% · 277 games
TerrorbladeKiritych
Terrorblade
Ringmaster
Ringmasterrue
52% · 216 games61% · 137 games
ChenKataomi
Chen
Enchantress
EnchantressPanto
48% · 184 games42% · 231 game
HoodwinkSave-
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 73%
Series resultTeam Spirit 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3