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EPL Masters II · BO3
result vs prediction
Klim Sani4win 2:0
series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 2:0
summer bearloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Klim Sani4

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
swedenstrong · 2 games
100%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
423 · 2 games
100%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
Rein · 2 games
100%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
mangekyou · 1 game
100%
Broodmother
Broodmother
mangekyou · 1 game
100%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
swedenstrong · 1 game
100%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
mangekyou · 1 game
100%
Dazzle
Dazzle
Rein · 1 game
100%

summer bear

Techies
Techies
Delight · 14 games
43%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Delight · 6 games
67%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
zuyzyan · 5 games
60%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
monodrama · 5 games
60%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
monodrama · 5 games
80%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
azimoff · 4 games
50%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
zuyzyan · 4 games
75%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Panda · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
486 picks · 331 bans
49%
Bane
Bane
348 picks · 459 bans
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
340 picks · 532 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
322 picks · 497 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
314 picks · 646 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
285 picks · 319 bans
49%
Windranger
Windranger
277 picks · 203 bans
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
265 picks · 431 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 53%
Hero pool strength57% Klim Sani4
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% Klim Sani4
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:8
Klim Sani4 67%summer bear 33%
The model gave 67% on Klim Sani4 — the game was taken by Klim Sani4 in 24:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet423
54% · 177 games55% · 223 games
Storm SpiritPanda
Storm Spirit
Enigma
Enigmamangekyou
52% · 73 games58% · 35 games
Lone DruidOtaker
Lone Druid
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunterswedenstrong
57% · 53 games47% · 121 game
DoomfortniteMan
Doom
Pangolier
PangolierSquad1x
44% · 314 games43% · 97 games
Dark Willowwaveformn
Dark Willow
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenRein
33% · 19 games49% · 160 games
BaneDelight
Bane
Game 2prediction correct49:22
Klim Sani4 67%summer bear 33%
The model gave 67% on Klim Sani4 — the game was taken by Klim Sani4 in 55:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
Kez423
51% · 227 games56% · 118 games
InvokerPanda
Invoker
Underlord
Underlordmangekyou
49% · 268 games46% · 111 games
DawnbreakerOtaker
Dawnbreaker
Sand King
Sand KingSquad1x
47% · 158 games47% · 157 games
AxefortniteMan
Axe
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightswedenstrong
57% · 210 games46% · 157 games
Dark Willowwaveformn
Dark Willow
Mirana
MiranaRESPECT
52% · 154 games50% · 474 games
HoodwinkDelight
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteKlim Sani4 · 81%
Series resultKlim Sani4 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2